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 Post subject: Re: What are you up to?
PostPosted: Sun Mar 29, 2020 2:35 pm 
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I've self-isolated for the last four years so nothing's really changed for me. Wrapping up the latest episode of my show and hoping to release it by end of week. If you're a Husker Du fan you'll like it.

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 Post subject: Re: What are you up to?
PostPosted: Sun Apr 05, 2020 9:16 am 
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I've been working from home for almost a month now. Staying plenty busy. In addition to my work as an economist, I'm also the emergency coordinator and continuity of operations coordinator for my office, and part of the pandemic response team, working with FEMA and DHS to provide updates on the impact the virus is having on government operations.

Related, if y'all have any covid-19 related questions, I'd be happy to answer them. In my free time I've been doing a bit of epidemiological modeling. It's not super dissimilar to the mid-century ghg emission projections that I do at work, and there's lots of trustworthy data available to work with from the Imperial College of London, IHME, and others.


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 Post subject: Re: What are you up to?
PostPosted: Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:14 pm 
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Awesome! What are your projections to the US economy? Do you expect things to get much worse before it gets better? Are we expecting a similar trend like the 08 recession ?

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 Post subject: Re: What are you up to?
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:33 am 
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I'm not a macroeconomic expert, but I suspect that we'll continue to see fluctuation in both directions. Upward as cases and deaths start to decline in the areas hit earlier on (China and Europe specifically), with downward drops as the market absorbs the enormity of the number of cases and deaths that will occur this week and next week in the US.

I don't expect that the market will fully stabilize until summer 2021. This thing is going to almost certainly come back this fall and force the northern hemisphere into another round of shutdowns.


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 Post subject: Re: What are you up to?
PostPosted: Tue Apr 07, 2020 12:53 pm 
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TIME TO BUY ALL THE STOCKS.

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 Post subject: Re: What are you up to?
PostPosted: Tue Apr 07, 2020 1:22 pm 
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z315 wrote:
TIME TO BUY ALL THE STOCKS.

If I had extra cash I would be doing exactly that. Unfortunately, everything I have is tied up in stocks, so selling that to buy other stock would be counter productive.

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